publications

Publication records below are generated from data/canonical/papers_manual.bib and canonical short-form writing metadata.

Peer-Reviewed Publications

• Effects of the expanded Child Tax Credit on employment outcomes (Journal of Public Economics, 2024)
• The Minimum Wage, Self-Employment, and the Online Gig Economy (Journal of Labor Economics, 2023)
• No Evidence the Child Tax Credit Expansion Had an Effect on the Well-Being and Mental Health of Parents (Health Affairs, 2022)

Working Papers

• The Effectiveness of the Food Stamp Program at Reducing Racial Differences in the Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty (Working paper, May 2023)

Reports

• How to end low-wage work forever: An 80-80 wage subsidy proposal (Economic Innovation Group, September 2025)
• The Impact of Opportunity Zones on Housing Supply (Economic Innovation Group, March 2025)
• The Great “Transfer”-mation: How American Communities Became Reliant on Income from Government (Economic Innovation Group, September 2024)
• The American Worker Project: Toward a New Consensus (Economic Innovation Group, June 2024)
• Are Opportunity Zones Working? What the Literature Tells Us (Economic Innovation Group, October 2023)
• Liquid Assets, Financial Shocks, and Entrances into Material Hardship (Poverty Tracker (Robin Hood), August 2023)
• The Effects of Noncompete Agreement Reforms on Business Formation: A Comparison of Hawaii and Oregon (Economic Innovation Group, March 2023)
• The Impact of Public Policy on Nonstandard Work Arrangements (University of Washington, 2021)
• The Chinese Hukou System: Structural Change and Political Reform (Senior thesis, Vassar College, 2016)

Short-Form Blog Posts (Agglomerations)

• Dec 22, 2025 — How to end low-wage work forever, Part 2: the FAQ — Follow-up FAQ on the 80-80 wage subsidy proposal.
• Dec 17, 2025 — The jobs chart that really has us worried — Analysis of involuntary part-time employment trends.
• Dec 8, 2025 — How many manufacturing workers are there? — Clarifying measurement and trends in manufacturing employment.
• Nov 3, 2025 — Where any SNAP lapse will bite hardest — Geographic distribution of potential SNAP disruption impacts.
• Oct 8, 2025 — Fat Bear Week and the Fate of the World — Commentary on AI, productivity, and human judgment.
• Oct 3, 2025 — Abundance: the Missing Piece — Supply-side growth and implementation constraints.
• Sep 22, 2025 — How to end low-wage work forever — Proposal for the 80-80 wage subsidy framework.
• May 15, 2025 — Tariffs and Manufacturing Jobs: Three Big Problems — Assessing tariff policy claims against labor-market evidence.
• Mar 11, 2025 — Opportunity Zones: A Quiet Revolution in Housing Policy — Evidence on Opportunity Zones and housing supply outcomes.
• Feb 7, 2025 — Transfers, deficits, and your community: How will you know? — Local implications of transfers and fiscal trends.
• Jan 21, 2025 — No, we are not producing too many STEM graduates — Reassessing STEM labor-market narratives.
• Nov 15, 2024 — The economic geography of the 2024 elections — Place-based analysis of 2024 election patterns.
• Nov 8, 2024 — An inflation puzzle of the 2024 election — Inflation perceptions and voting behavior.
• Oct 3, 2024 — Who’s left out of America’s retirement savings system? — Coverage gaps in employer-sponsored retirement access.